College football picks against the spread: Bruce Feldman’s predictions for Week 12

College football picks against the spread: Bruce Feldman’s predictions for Week 12

I had a dismal week, going 4-8 against the number to get me two games under .500 for the season against the spread. The good: Picking Mizzou to beat Tennessee. The bad: Tulane’s choice to blow out Tulsa. The Ugly: Picking Texas to beat TCU.

Here are this week’s guesses.

Check out Stuart Mandel’s picks.

(All point spreads come from BetMGM; click here for live odds. All kickoff times are ET and Saturday unless otherwise noted.)

No. 3 Michigan (-19.5) at Maryland, noon (FOX)

No Jim Harbaugh. No problem. The Wolverines are very physical for the Terps.

Michigan 35, Maryland 20
Maryland +19.5

No. 10 Louisville at Miami (Pick Them), noon (ABC)

The Canes showed a great deal of grit in giving Florida State everything they could handle in Tallahassee last week. The hunch here is that they’re going after the Cardinals, who are back on the road for the first time since their failed showing at Pitt.

Miami 20, Louisville 17
Pickaxe: Miami

No. 22 Utah at No. 17 Arizona (-1), 2:30 p.m. (Pac-12 Network)

Jedd Fisch has the Wildcats playing with a lot of confidence. They have a more dynamic offense and should be strong enough to make the Utes play away from home.

Arizona 24, Utah 17
Pickaxe: Arizona -1

No. 1 Georgia (-9.5) at No. 18 Tennessee, 3:30 p.m. (CBS)

UT was smoked last week by Mizzou. I think they will be more prepared to face Georgia, but the Dodgers are still too physical for them. The Vols run game has been explosive in non-conference games averaging over 7.2 yards, but that average drops nearly three yards per carry in an SEC game, and Mizzou, Florida and Bama all combined.

Georgia 37, Tennessee 17
Pickaxe: Georgia -9.5

No. 21 Kansas State (-9.5) at No. 25 Kansas, 7 p.m. (FS1)

The Jayhawks are in shock right now as they face a team they bombed last year. Expect KU to keep it a little closer than it was in 2022.

Kansas State 28, Kansas 17
Pickaxe: Kansas State -9.5

Florida is at No. 9 Missouri (-11.5), 7:30 p.m. (ESPN)

The Tigers offense is playing with a lot of confidence right now, and RB Cody Schrader is really fired up. The hunch here is that a visiting Gators team that has been very bad on the road this season (1-3 with just a 41-39 win over a bad South Carolina team) won’t be able to slow down Mizzou’s offense. UF has allowed 555 yards in the past two games and now they face the SEC’s top RB in Schrader.

Missouri 31, Florida 17
Pickaxe: Missouri -11.5

No. 5 Washington at No. 11 Oregon State (-2), 7:30 p.m. (ABC)

The Beavers are really strong at home and have a punishing 1-2 rushing attack. Ohio State University is causing major problems for opposing quarterbacks in Corvallis. This year, visiting QBs have completed less than 50 percent of their passes and have a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 4 to 10. Over the past three seasons, that number has been a dismal 14 to 25.

Oregon 30, Washington 24
Pickaxe: Oregon State -2

No. 7 Texas (-7.5) at Iowa, 8 p.m. (Fox)

The young Hurricanes have been a pleasant surprise and their defense could slow down the entirety of UT. I was tempted to pick the outright upset, but I think the Horns are strong enough in the trenches to come away from Ames with the win.

Texas 24, Iowa 20
Pickaxe: Iowa State +7.5

Feldman is particularly upset
Colorado at Washington State (-4), 10:30 p.m. Friday (FS1)

Both teams are reeling. I’m leaning toward picking the home team as this game is expected to be a sellout and will be the Cougars’ last Pac-12 game in Pullman, but I think Shedeur Sanders can light up a defense that has given up 38 or more points in four of its last five games.

Colorado 42, Washington State 40
Selection: Colorado +4

(Rocco Bechet Photo: Chris Gardner/Getty Images)

(Tags for translation)Louisville Cardinals

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